Breath-Based Carb Burning Check
DeLauer explains that the crossover from fat to carb burning is dictated by the balance of energy demand and oxygen availability. When oxygen can't keep up, the body shifts to glycolysis, which produces lactic acid. The body buffers this acid with bicarbonate, generating CO2, which must be exhaled. This causes a sudden increase in breathing rate — the ventilatory threshold. Research in Frontiers of Psychology found that during maximal effort, the crossover occurs at ~76% VO2 max, but at submaximal effort it happens at just 50-58% VO2 max. So for many people, activities like climbing a flight of stairs or walking up a hill trigger this shift and heavy breathing. By tuning into this sensation, you can infer that you're burning carbs. DeLauer cautions that illness can also cause heavy breathing, but under normal health, it's a reliable marker. Long-term low-carb dieters might notice this even more acutely after eating carbs because their bodies are carbohydrate-intolerant and switch gears rapidly.
When glycolysis outpaces the mitochondria's ability to use oxygen, lactate accumulates. The body buffers lactate with bicarbonate (HCO3-), producing carbonic acid which dissociates into water and CO2. The rise in CO2 activates respiratory centers to increase ventilation, causing the telltale breathlessness.
If you're out of breath faster ... that's usually an indicator that you're not having sufficient aerobic metabolism.

